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单词 risk
释义
risk

Mathematics
  • The proportion or rate of incidence of a particular outcome in a group. So the risk of a disease can be expressed as a percentage which equates to the statistical probability that an individual in that category catches the disease.


Statistics
  • The estimated probability of an undesirable outcome. Often a patient is subject to competing risks; for example, death due to a heart attack or death due to heart surgery.


Chemical Engineering
  • The statistical probability or likelihood of an undesired event occurring within a defined period or in specified circumstances and the severity or impact it could have if it were to happen. It is therefore a measure of the potential for causing human injury, loss of life, economic loss, or environmental impact. The likelihood may be expressed either as a frequency of specified events occurring in a given time, or as a probability of a specified event occurring. Acute risk is where the consequence occurs quickly, such as the effect of an electrical storm. Chronic risk is where the consequence builds up slowly over time although a single dosage may be small.


Computer
  • A quantity derived both from the probability that a particular hazard will occur and the magnitude of the consequence of the undesirable effects of that hazard. The term risk is often used informally to mean the probability of a hazard occurring. See also tolerable risk.


Geography
  • The likelihood of possible outcomes as a result of a particular action or reaction. Technically speaking, the likely outcomes of risks can be assessed as a series of different odds, while there is no calculation of probabilities in uncertainty. ‘Social scientists have long argued that risk is socially constructed…the interpretation of physical threats is not just a subjective process engaged in by individuals but is also strongly affected by mores, norms, values, institutions, and other influences on choice that are held in common by members of social groups. By these means the almost infinite number of physical risks that inhabit our world is prioritized to facilitate collective action’ (Mitchell (2007) AAAG 97, 2). See J. Kasperson and R. Kasperson (2005). Herrick (2005) Area 37, 3, in a study of risk perception and GM food, writes that ‘what science deems to be an acceptable level of risk may not match the social perception of acceptability. When the differences between social and scientific notions of risk become acute, then the outcome is a “social amplification of risk” by the public.’ Wakefield and Elliott (2003) Prof. Geogr. 55, 2 suggest that risk messages are chosen and shaped by journalists on the basis of the pressures they themselves are under, and that, while newspapers were a major source of risk information, their impact was mitigated by readers’ distrust, and access to their own personal information networks. Watson and Stratford (2008) Soc. & Cult. Geog. 9, 4 recognize three socio-spatial orderings of risk (displacement, replacement, and reorientation). Risk analysis identifies the level of hazard in an area, and estimates the probability of occurrence of future risk (Chung and Fabbri (2008) Geomorph. 94, 3–4). See Hungr et al. (2008) Geomorph. 96, 3–4 on quantitative risk analysis.

    See also uncertainty.


Philosophy
  • A risk is an exposure to the possibility of loss (or, less colloquially, gain): the size of the risk is measured by the possible magnitude of the loss and its probability. Following Keynes it is common to distinguish between risk, confined to cases where the probability is rationally quantifiable, and uncertainty, where there is insufficient evidence to justify putting any figure on the probability of an outcome. Just as astrology is an attempt to turn astronomy into prophecy, so mathematics applied to the stock market is an alchemy that attempts to transmute the uncertainty attending future prices in a market (themselves the consequence of highly volatile and unpredictable tides of confidence and fear) into measurable risk. See also induction, Goodman’s paradox, hope (fear).


Economics
  • A form of uncertainty where, while the actual outcome of an action is not known, probabilities can be assigned to each of the possible outcomes. This permits application of the expected utility function to represent preferences over alternatives. The variance of the distribution of possible outcomes is frequently used as a measure of risk, particularly in financial theory. See also counter-party credit risk; currency risk; downside risk; exposure to risk; idiosyncratic risk; independent risks; market risk; settlement risk; systematic risk; systemic risk.


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