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单词 martingale
释义
martingale

Mathematics
  • A sequence of random variables {Xi} such that the expected value of the (n + 1)th random variable, once the first n outcomes are known, is just the current value Xn. The simple random walk, which moves left or right one step with probability 0.5, is an example of a martingale.


Statistics
  • The sequence of random variables X1, X2,…(with finite expected values) is a martingale if the conditional expected value of Xn+1, given the values of X1, X2,…, Xn, is given bymartingale

    An example is provided by letting Xn be the amount of a gambler's winnings after the nth of a sequence of fair games.


Economics
  • A stochastic process in which the expectation of the future value of a variable, conditional on currently available information, including the current value, is equal to the current value of the variable.


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